David J. Hand's book The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day is an entertaining tour through the logic of statistics and the laws and behavior of large numbers, and it also gives some great advice if you want to be a prophet:
1) use signs no one else can understand ;
2) make all your predictions ambiguous;
3) make as many predictions as you possible can.
Winter is coming.
ReplyDeletethat works and it's a lot more succinct.
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